The great deception is that the Green Revolution will save us all - but never mentioned is that more fossil fuel energy than has been used already, combined, will be needed to make this happen. Worse, fossil fuel economies just needed fossil fuels.
The green revolution requires fossil fuels, AND metals such as copper and lithium, AND advanced manufacturing / engineering capabilities that are not just lying around for easy use.
Personally I think what will happen is kind of like a Judge Dredd situation - the majority (90%) will be dirt poor and live on the periphery of existence, while 'mega cities' all use what energy that is still available.
In the near term, we are facing a massive shock - the biggest in world history - from the Hormuz situation. The blockade has gone on far longer than it was supposed to under rosy scenarios, and the best the media is preparing people is bloomberg saying, 'Maybe it could be as bad as 2008' which has to be the undersell of this century.
Asian and import reliant economies will hurt first, but the effects in our globalized world are going to tear America apart, and no one is prepared.
when discussions on this thread come up---it always brings to mind someone i know, now retired, who controlled the transport (etc) division pf a large municipal undertaking---so no slouch--.
when i tried to bring up the future problem, and the energy necessary to allow our future to function,, he response was ''what's energy got to do with it?".
you can't penetrate that kind of stupidity. a real ''duh'' moment there.
Yeah that is my life every day. People might know how something works - in the sense that pressing this button, or scheduling this service leads to whatever endstate, but they are critically lack the 'why' part of something works. Why we have substack at all is because of fossil fuel energy surplus, making the how (a combo of venture capital and so on) almost quaint by comparison.
The great deception is that the Green Revolution will save us all - but never mentioned is that more fossil fuel energy than has been used already, combined, will be needed to make this happen. Worse, fossil fuel economies just needed fossil fuels.
The green revolution requires fossil fuels, AND metals such as copper and lithium, AND advanced manufacturing / engineering capabilities that are not just lying around for easy use.
Personally I think what will happen is kind of like a Judge Dredd situation - the majority (90%) will be dirt poor and live on the periphery of existence, while 'mega cities' all use what energy that is still available.
In the near term, we are facing a massive shock - the biggest in world history - from the Hormuz situation. The blockade has gone on far longer than it was supposed to under rosy scenarios, and the best the media is preparing people is bloomberg saying, 'Maybe it could be as bad as 2008' which has to be the undersell of this century.
Asian and import reliant economies will hurt first, but the effects in our globalized world are going to tear America apart, and no one is prepared.
when discussions on this thread come up---it always brings to mind someone i know, now retired, who controlled the transport (etc) division pf a large municipal undertaking---so no slouch--.
when i tried to bring up the future problem, and the energy necessary to allow our future to function,, he response was ''what's energy got to do with it?".
you can't penetrate that kind of stupidity. a real ''duh'' moment there.
Yeah that is my life every day. People might know how something works - in the sense that pressing this button, or scheduling this service leads to whatever endstate, but they are critically lack the 'why' part of something works. Why we have substack at all is because of fossil fuel energy surplus, making the how (a combo of venture capital and so on) almost quaint by comparison.